Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.207652 0.240683 0.277274 0.320819 0.371239 0.427804 0.496108
2025-07-20 0.158773 0.203753 0.258827 0.331249 0.424058 0.539130 0.692873
2025-07-27 0.132794 0.182848 0.248528 0.341083 0.468331 0.637436 0.879814
2025-08-03 0.112997 0.164778 0.236666 0.343852 0.499915 0.719395 1.052568
2025-08-10 0.096348 0.147647 0.222425 0.339501 0.518645 0.783244 1.205415
2025-08-17 0.081701 0.130872 0.205736 0.328179 0.524038 0.826286 1.330499
2025-08-24 0.074075 0.123563 0.201973 0.335444 0.557801 0.915002 1.535732
2025-08-31 0.066531 0.115214 0.195242 0.336599 0.581120 0.988796 1.724555
2025-09-07 0.060777 0.109002 0.191051 0.341082 0.609905 1.073958 1.941679
2025-09-14 0.054022 0.100129 0.181155 0.334211 0.617687 1.123307 2.100823
2025-09-21 0.048836 0.093388 0.174121 0.331411 0.632033 1.185158 2.288970
2025-09-28 0.045118 0.088889 0.170565 0.334457 0.657251 1.269072 2.527597
2025-10-05 0.043320 0.087947 0.173713 0.351005 0.710918 1.413807 2.904538
2025-10-12 0.041038 0.085784 0.174282 0.362594 0.756314 1.547964 3.277718
2025-10-19 0.038881 0.083590 0.174487 0.373362 0.801121 1.685657 3.674583
2025-10-26 0.036182 0.079914 0.171215 0.376394 0.829911 1.793346 4.020308
2025-11-02 0.033072 0.074969 0.164702 0.371630 0.841192 1.864987 4.295329
2025-11-09 0.029675 0.068978 0.155255 0.359231 0.833992 1.895437 4.480817
2025-11-16 0.028201 0.067179 0.154834 0.367186 0.873881 2.034922 4.935090
2025-11-23 0.026369 0.064327 0.151706 0.368451 0.898236 2.141465 5.323785
2025-11-30 0.024945 0.062280 0.150198 0.373360 0.931779 2.272976 5.788843
2025-12-07 0.022868 0.058388 0.143896 0.365836 0.933963 2.329522 6.073381
2025-12-14 0.021247 0.055451 0.139584 0.362770 0.946937 2.413838 6.439093